PREMIUM
AAA's WILDCARD TUESDAY SUPER PLAY (INSANE 202-138 +$17K MLB YTD!)
(MLB) Baltimore vs. Toronto,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -150.00 Baltimore (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 1.50 | -150.00 Baltimore (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SUPER PLAY on the Baltimore Orioles on the RUN-LINE.
Setting the scene: Chris Tillman had a surprisingly good season, finishing 16-6 with a 3.77 ERA. He was really good on the road as well, going 8-3 with a 2.97 ERA. His counterpart Marcus Stroman was 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA. Stroman looked brilliant at times this year, but also frustratingly average in others. Note that he'd finish with a pedestrian 4.59 ERA at home.
Tillman: Tillman has been throwing in the AL East for many seasons and the Blue Jays have dominated him over the course of his career. In fact, in 24 career outings against Toronto, he's only 5-10 with a 5.44 ERA. He's also just 2-6 with a 7.01 ERA in 13 starts in Toronto overall. But that was then and this is now. Tillman has held his own against the Blue Jays this year, going 1-0 with a 3.63 ERA in four starts. And in two starts in Toronto, he'd post a 2.38 ERA.
Stroman: He went 0-5 in September, despite posting a decent 3.41 ERA in six outings. Stroman though has been hit-or-miss all year and he faced the Orioles just last week and got rocked. In fact, in he's just 2-3 with a 5.07 ERA in seven career outings against Baltimore, including only 1-2 with a 7.04 ERA in three matchups this season.
The bottom line: Does Toronto have an advantage on the mound tonight? The numbers definitely say no. Do the Jays have the advantage at the plate? The numbers would also point to "no," as they'd post an AL-worst 3.69 runs per game in 29 games in Sept-Oct. We think this one should be more of a pick-em priced line, but in this case, we're goign to lay the very reasonable mid-sized price with confidence and grab the extra run-and-a-half at the same time. Play on BALTIMORE on the RUN-LINE.
AAA Sports
Setting the scene: Chris Tillman had a surprisingly good season, finishing 16-6 with a 3.77 ERA. He was really good on the road as well, going 8-3 with a 2.97 ERA. His counterpart Marcus Stroman was 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA. Stroman looked brilliant at times this year, but also frustratingly average in others. Note that he'd finish with a pedestrian 4.59 ERA at home.
Tillman: Tillman has been throwing in the AL East for many seasons and the Blue Jays have dominated him over the course of his career. In fact, in 24 career outings against Toronto, he's only 5-10 with a 5.44 ERA. He's also just 2-6 with a 7.01 ERA in 13 starts in Toronto overall. But that was then and this is now. Tillman has held his own against the Blue Jays this year, going 1-0 with a 3.63 ERA in four starts. And in two starts in Toronto, he'd post a 2.38 ERA.
Stroman: He went 0-5 in September, despite posting a decent 3.41 ERA in six outings. Stroman though has been hit-or-miss all year and he faced the Orioles just last week and got rocked. In fact, in he's just 2-3 with a 5.07 ERA in seven career outings against Baltimore, including only 1-2 with a 7.04 ERA in three matchups this season.
The bottom line: Does Toronto have an advantage on the mound tonight? The numbers definitely say no. Do the Jays have the advantage at the plate? The numbers would also point to "no," as they'd post an AL-worst 3.69 runs per game in 29 games in Sept-Oct. We think this one should be more of a pick-em priced line, but in this case, we're goign to lay the very reasonable mid-sized price with confidence and grab the extra run-and-a-half at the same time. Play on BALTIMORE on the RUN-LINE.
AAA Sports
