AAA's 10* WED NIGHT SUN BELT GAME OF YEAR (67% w/ CFB IN WEEK 5!)
(NCAAF) Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State,
Point Spread: 8.00 | -110.00 Arkansas State (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SUN BELT GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas State.

Setting the scene: Arkansas State is the defending Sun Belt Champ, but it lost it's QB in the offseason and has opened the 2016/17 campaign by going 0-4, including a humiliating loss to FCS Central Arkansas last time out. Georgia Southern comes out of a bye-week after getting smashed 59-31 on the road to Western Michigan. This is a great situational play though (which we'll detail shortly) and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, we do definitely feel that the desperate home side is going to keep it a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

The Eagles: Clearly they're the better team today. Despite the lop-sided loss to WMU, Georgia Southern is still only giving up 305.8 YPG and 228 yards through the air. Four turnovers proved costly in the loss to the Broncos. QB Favian Upshaw was just 4 of 6, but did have two TD's as well as one INT. Arkansas State will no doubt have its hands full trying to stop Georgia Southern's ground attack, a unit which is so far averaging 317.8 YPG.

Red Wolves: Coming off a 9-4 season, there were high expectations for Arkansas State this year. Clearly things haven't gone the way that coach Blake Anderson envisioned, but despite the loss to Central Arkansas, there were a few silver linings to be taken from the setback, as QB Justice Hansen would go on to finish with 424 yards and three TD's. Blake Mack also had eigth catches for 142 yards. Turnovers played a big part in the setback as well, as ASU had four, while unable to force any the other way.

The bottom line: We think Georgia Southern gets caught "looking ahead" to its big matchup at Georgia Tech next week. While a non-conference game, clearly moving up to play in the Power 5 conference atmosphere is something these guys would have had circled on the calendar before the season started. Grab as many points as you can, play on the RED WOLVES.

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