AAA's EARLY 3-GM TOTALS REPORT (w/ 10* TOTAL OF YEAR! 5-0, 100% w/ TOTALS REPORTS!)
(NFL) Kansas City vs. Indianapolis,
Total: 50.00 | 102.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Indianapolis Colts.

Setting the scene: Two teams hungry for more wins collide on Sunday afternoon and we think all signs point to more of a "chess match," than a "track meet" today. KC has won two straight, most recently over the Saints, while Indy has alternated wins and losses over the past six weeks, most recently coming off a 34-26 victory over Tennessee last Sunday.

Kansas City: The Chiefs lost 43-14 to the Steelers and then went into their bye week. KC has responded with two straight victories, spurred by tough defensive play, having allowed just 31 points in that span, including just 21 to the Saints last weekend (New Orleans was the highest scoring team at the time and was held to over ten points less than its average).

Indianapolis: The Colts needed a patchwork offense to beat the Titans last weekend, as they entered with seven injured players. Indy has played seven games this year and the total has gone OVER the number in six of those, including in four straight. But with a tough game in Green Bay next weekend, followed with their bye the following Sunday, we think injuries and scheduling finally catch up to the home side today.

The bottom line: Note that Kansas City has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 14 after two or more consecutive SU wins and in three of its last four against the AFC South, while Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten off a win against a division rival. This one sneaks UNDER the posted number.

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