PREMIUM
AAA's 10* THU NIGHT NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF YEAR (PROFITS EVERY SINGLE WEEK SO FAR, +$13K NFL YTD!)
(NFL) Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay,
Total: 51.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 51.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
REASONING: The Falcons are the league's highest scoring team with an average of almost 33 PPG. The Bucs have been poor defensively, which obviously would lead many to make a play on the OVER in this particular matchup. But we think the conditions are right for a lower-scoring "chess match," rather than another high-scoring "shootout." We base most of our Over/Under picks on "situations" and trends and that's the case with this one. Divisional contests are always the most important and in the wide open NFC South, this game clearly has big implications for both sides. Atlanta is playing with revenge after losing the season opener to Tampa Bay, a game which it had control of for the most part until a late collapse allowed the Bucs to successfully come from behind. ATL's weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing Tampa's middle of the road offense. It's a short week and both teams are going to be "gassed" tonight, as Atlanta comes in off an OT win over the Packers, while Tampa was unable to hold on to a late lead in a disheartening setback in Oakland last week. Also note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Tampa has seen the total go UNDER in 11 of its last 16 as an underdog in the same points range. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
REASONING: The Falcons are the league's highest scoring team with an average of almost 33 PPG. The Bucs have been poor defensively, which obviously would lead many to make a play on the OVER in this particular matchup. But we think the conditions are right for a lower-scoring "chess match," rather than another high-scoring "shootout." We base most of our Over/Under picks on "situations" and trends and that's the case with this one. Divisional contests are always the most important and in the wide open NFC South, this game clearly has big implications for both sides. Atlanta is playing with revenge after losing the season opener to Tampa Bay, a game which it had control of for the most part until a late collapse allowed the Bucs to successfully come from behind. ATL's weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing Tampa's middle of the road offense. It's a short week and both teams are going to be "gassed" tonight, as Atlanta comes in off an OT win over the Packers, while Tampa was unable to hold on to a late lead in a disheartening setback in Oakland last week. Also note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Tampa has seen the total go UNDER in 11 of its last 16 as an underdog in the same points range. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
