PREMIUM
AAA's Afternoon 3-GAME COLLEGE FOOTBALL ALL ACCESS PASS
(NCAAF) Texas State vs. Appalachian State,
Point Spread: 31.50 | -106.00 Texas State (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 31.50 | -106.00 Texas State (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Texas State.
REASONING: We think that App State has enough of a mental lapse this week to allow Texas State to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. Texas State last played two weeks ago in a listless 27-3 loss to Louisiana Lafayette, while Appalachian State routed Georgia Southern 34-10 on the road last Thursday. Clearly the Bobcats are a horrible team, they rank near the bottom in almost every offensive and defensive statistical categories, but we simply feel this is a bad spot for the Mountaineers, who have a huge matchup against Troy next week. Appalachian State is tied with the Trojans at 4-0 atop the Sun Belt standings, with Arkansas State only a half game behind at 3-0. Note that Texas State is 6-4 ATS in its last ten off a loss against a conference rival and 5-3 ATS after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Appalachian State is just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 at home (including only 1-3 ATS this season) and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 when playing against a team with a losing record. We think the Mountaineers come get caught looking ahead and TEXAS STATE does just enough to come away with a comfortable cover.
AAA Sports
REASONING: We think that App State has enough of a mental lapse this week to allow Texas State to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. Texas State last played two weeks ago in a listless 27-3 loss to Louisiana Lafayette, while Appalachian State routed Georgia Southern 34-10 on the road last Thursday. Clearly the Bobcats are a horrible team, they rank near the bottom in almost every offensive and defensive statistical categories, but we simply feel this is a bad spot for the Mountaineers, who have a huge matchup against Troy next week. Appalachian State is tied with the Trojans at 4-0 atop the Sun Belt standings, with Arkansas State only a half game behind at 3-0. Note that Texas State is 6-4 ATS in its last ten off a loss against a conference rival and 5-3 ATS after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Appalachian State is just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 at home (including only 1-3 ATS this season) and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 when playing against a team with a losing record. We think the Mountaineers come get caught looking ahead and TEXAS STATE does just enough to come away with a comfortable cover.
AAA Sports
