PREMIUM
AAA's 10* AFC TOTAL OF YEAR (INSANE 33-12, 73% ALL NFL OVER FIRST 8 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Tennessee vs. San Diego,
Total: 47.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 47.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Tennessee Titans and the San Diego Chargers.
REASONING: Both teams have seen the total go OVER the number in six of eight games this year, but we think the conditions are now right for more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in this particular matchup. Tennessee has won two of its last three with recent victories over Miami, Cleveland and Jacksonville, while San Diego looks to bounce back after a 27-19 loss to Denver last weekend. The Titans have been playing "over their heads," as they've scored at least 26 points in four consecutive games for the first time in 13 years. QB Marcus Mariota has gotten progressively better and he's been the beneficiary of a strong run game, last week DeMarco Murray has 123 yards and a major score off 21 carries. San Diego will also be leaning heavily on its star RB today, last week Melvin Gordon had 111 yards against a tough Broncos' line. Note that Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games that it's played this year off a win against a conference rival and in ten of its last 17 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while San Diego has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last ten home games when the total is set between 42.5 and 49 points. We're banking on each side coming out with a concerted plan to establish the run game throughout, a factor which will ultimatley help in pushing this number UNDER the number once it's all said and done.
AAA Sports
REASONING: Both teams have seen the total go OVER the number in six of eight games this year, but we think the conditions are now right for more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in this particular matchup. Tennessee has won two of its last three with recent victories over Miami, Cleveland and Jacksonville, while San Diego looks to bounce back after a 27-19 loss to Denver last weekend. The Titans have been playing "over their heads," as they've scored at least 26 points in four consecutive games for the first time in 13 years. QB Marcus Mariota has gotten progressively better and he's been the beneficiary of a strong run game, last week DeMarco Murray has 123 yards and a major score off 21 carries. San Diego will also be leaning heavily on its star RB today, last week Melvin Gordon had 111 yards against a tough Broncos' line. Note that Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games that it's played this year off a win against a conference rival and in ten of its last 17 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while San Diego has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last ten home games when the total is set between 42.5 and 49 points. We're banking on each side coming out with a concerted plan to establish the run game throughout, a factor which will ultimatley help in pushing this number UNDER the number once it's all said and done.
AAA Sports