AAA's EARLY 5-GAME NFL REPORT (INSANE 40-20, 67% ALL NFL FIRST 11 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Cincinnati vs. Baltimore,
Total: 40.00 | -101.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in its last four after two or more consecutive losses and in eight of its last 14 against the division, while Baltimore has seen the total go OVER in four of six as a favorite this season and in all three against the division.

The bottom line: The Bengals may be down their top receiver and a main RB, but Andy Dalton and company won't be going down without a fight. The Ravens can smell the blood in the water and will look to bounce back today after consecutive road defeats. We're expecting this massive sense of competition to push this one OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

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