PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SEC CHAMP-GAME "RED DRAGON!" (SIGNATURE SERIES LEADER!)
(NCAAF) Alabama vs. Florida,
Point Spread: -24.00 | -105.00 Alabama (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -24.00 | -105.00 Alabama (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Alabama.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Florida is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog (including just 1-2 ATS this year), while Alabama is 8-4 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival.
The bottom line: The Gators have a top 15 defense, but the offense is a disaster. And that doesn't bode well for an Alabama team which leads the nation on defense in allowing under 12 PPG. The Crimson Tide also rank in the top 10 offensively. On the national stage, we look for the No. 1 team in the FBS to send a resounding message to the rest of the country. Lay the points.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Florida is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog (including just 1-2 ATS this year), while Alabama is 8-4 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival.
The bottom line: The Gators have a top 15 defense, but the offense is a disaster. And that doesn't bode well for an Alabama team which leads the nation on defense in allowing under 12 PPG. The Crimson Tide also rank in the top 10 offensively. On the national stage, we look for the No. 1 team in the FBS to send a resounding message to the rest of the country. Lay the points.
AAA Sports
