PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *MIA/BAL* EARLY BLOCKBUSTER (42-23, 65% ALL NFL FIRST 12 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Miami vs. Baltimore,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -113.00 Baltimore (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -3.00 | -113.00 Baltimore (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Baltimore Ravens.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Miami is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of December and interestingly, just 1-4 ATS against the AFC North, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a win against a division rival and 4-1 ATS against the AFC East.
The bottom line: The Dolphins have reeled off five straight wins, but we think are ripe for a letdown here. The Ravens play in New England next weekend, meaning that this game becomes almost a "do-or-die" scenario for the home side. We're laying the points, play on BALTIMORE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Miami is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of December and interestingly, just 1-4 ATS against the AFC North, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a win against a division rival and 4-1 ATS against the AFC East.
The bottom line: The Dolphins have reeled off five straight wins, but we think are ripe for a letdown here. The Ravens play in New England next weekend, meaning that this game becomes almost a "do-or-die" scenario for the home side. We're laying the points, play on BALTIMORE.
AAA Sports
