AAA's 10* *BUF/OAK* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER (42-23, 65% ALL NFL FIRST 12 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Buffalo vs. Oakland,
Total: 48.50 | -112.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Buffalo and Oakland.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Buffalo has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last six road games as an underdog of three points or less and in 16 of its last 23 as an underdog overall, while Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight games played in the month of December.

The bottom line: This is a big game for Buffalo, which can ill afford to turn this one into a "track meet." We can expect the visitors to try and manage this one while on offense, so as to limit the time that Derek Carr and company have on the field of play. All signs point to this one sneaking UNDER the number once it's all said and done.

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