AAA's 10* *WAS/ARI* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER (42-23, 65% ALL NFL FIRST 12 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Washington vs. Arizona,
Total: 49.00 | -100.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Washington Redskins and the Arizona Cardinals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Washington has interestingly seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five against the NFC West and in four of its last six "dome" games, while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last eight games played in the month of December, in six of eight as a favorite this year and in all six games that it's played in front of the home town crowd thus far.

The bottom line: The Redskins feature one of the best passing attacks in the game, but we think the unit will struggle on the road in this hostile environment. It's a big game for both teams, as each will essentially need to win-out to have any shot at a playoff berth. We're expecting this intense focus and determination to lend itself to a classic lower-scoring defensive battle. Play the UNDER.

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