PREMIUM
AAA's AMAZING 5-GAME CBB DESTRUCTION PASS (+$4,500 ALL CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) Troy vs. Arkansas State,
Point Spread: -5.50 | -106.00 Arkansas State (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -5.50 | -106.00 Arkansas State (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on Arkansas State.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Troy is just 12-19 ATS in its last 31 off a loss against a conference rival, while Arkansas State is already a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this year, 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records and 2-1 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest.
The bottom line: We think home court advantage also can't be overlooked in this particular matchup. All signs point to these strong trends continuing, play on ARKANSAS STATE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Troy is just 12-19 ATS in its last 31 off a loss against a conference rival, while Arkansas State is already a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this year, 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records and 2-1 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest.
The bottom line: We think home court advantage also can't be overlooked in this particular matchup. All signs point to these strong trends continuing, play on ARKANSAS STATE.
AAA Sports
