PREMIUM
AAA's AMAZING 5-GAME CBB DESTRUCTION PASS (+$4,500 ALL CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) Drake vs. Illinois State,
Point Spread: 18.00 | 102.00 Drake (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 18.00 | 102.00 Drake (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Drake.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Drake is 6-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records and 4-0 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while Illinois State is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home fav of 15.5 to 18 points and just 1-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less.
The bottom line: Looks like a prime letdown spot for the high-powered Redbirds. While we're not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset, we're definitely expecting the above trends to continue and for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very generous spread afforded to them in this one. Play on DRAKE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Drake is 6-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records and 4-0 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while Illinois State is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home fav of 15.5 to 18 points and just 1-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less.
The bottom line: Looks like a prime letdown spot for the high-powered Redbirds. While we're not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset, we're definitely expecting the above trends to continue and for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very generous spread afforded to them in this one. Play on DRAKE.
AAA Sports
