PREMIUM
AAA's AMAZING 5-GAME CBB DESTRUCTION PASS (+$4,500 ALL CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) LSU vs. Arkansas,
Point Spread: -12.50 | -106.00 Arkansas (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -12.50 | -106.00 Arkansas (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Arkansas.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that LSU is just 4-8 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 4-5 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Arkansas is 6-4 ATS against teams with winning records and 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a home fav in the 12.5 to 15 points range.
The bottom line: Arkansas averages almost 82 PPG and we have a hard time seeing the Tigers matching pace down the stretch. Lay the points, play on ARKANSAS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that LSU is just 4-8 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 4-5 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Arkansas is 6-4 ATS against teams with winning records and 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a home fav in the 12.5 to 15 points range.
The bottom line: Arkansas averages almost 82 PPG and we have a hard time seeing the Tigers matching pace down the stretch. Lay the points, play on ARKANSAS.
AAA Sports
