PREMIUM
10* (FOURTH OF JULY) *BIG TIGER!* SIGNATURE SERIES (+$13K MLB RUN CONT!)
(MLB) Cincinnati vs. Colorado,
Money Line: -147.00 Colorado (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -147.00 Colorado (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Colorado Rockies.
We absolutely feel that Kyle Freeland and the hard-hitting home side could/should in fact be much larger favorites in this spot:
Homer Bailey: He's 0-2 with a 27.00 ERA. Bailey most recently allowed six runs (with three dingers) and two walks in a loss to Milwaukee on Thursday. So far Bailey has been shelled for 14 runs over 14.2 innings of work spanning two starts.
Freeland: He's 8-6 with a 3.84 ERA. Freeland is coming off a loss to San Francisco on Wednesday, allowing four runs off seven hits and a walk over six innings. Freeland has been solid in his rookie season though, going into the sixth inning over his last 12 starts (is 4-3 with a very respectable 3.21 ERA at Coors Field this year as well.)
The bottom line: Is Bailey really as horrible as his nightmarish numbers would suggest? Obviously not, he's a veteran that's been around the block, however things aren't going to get any easier in the thin air of Denver this evening. Freeland on the other hand shows no signs of slowing down and we think he'll be able to take advantage of familiar surroundings this evening. Note that the Reds are just 4-14 (-10.3 units) against southpaws this year, while Colorado is 33-25 (+6.5 units) against right-handed starters. Play on the ROCKIES.
AAA Sports
We absolutely feel that Kyle Freeland and the hard-hitting home side could/should in fact be much larger favorites in this spot:
Homer Bailey: He's 0-2 with a 27.00 ERA. Bailey most recently allowed six runs (with three dingers) and two walks in a loss to Milwaukee on Thursday. So far Bailey has been shelled for 14 runs over 14.2 innings of work spanning two starts.
Freeland: He's 8-6 with a 3.84 ERA. Freeland is coming off a loss to San Francisco on Wednesday, allowing four runs off seven hits and a walk over six innings. Freeland has been solid in his rookie season though, going into the sixth inning over his last 12 starts (is 4-3 with a very respectable 3.21 ERA at Coors Field this year as well.)
The bottom line: Is Bailey really as horrible as his nightmarish numbers would suggest? Obviously not, he's a veteran that's been around the block, however things aren't going to get any easier in the thin air of Denver this evening. Freeland on the other hand shows no signs of slowing down and we think he'll be able to take advantage of familiar surroundings this evening. Note that the Reds are just 4-14 (-10.3 units) against southpaws this year, while Colorado is 33-25 (+6.5 units) against right-handed starters. Play on the ROCKIES.
AAA Sports
