We like the Texas State Bobcats to defeat the Troy Trojans on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

We've already won against the Bobcats this season and have won three straight bets involving them over the past two seasons.

Texas State was in the conversation for a non-power 5 playoff spot before their loss to ASU a couple of weeks ago. Meaning they are still very good.

Troy isn't looking very good at all this season and just lost to a team in ULM who completed just six passes.

Both the Trojans offense/defense are liabilities, ranking near the bottom in both points and points allowed per game.

Last weeks loss wasn't expected, but the Bobcats should have a short memory with how well they played to begin the season.

TXST also plays with revenge after losing last year's matchup by 18 points. Both teams are much different and a different story should be played out here.

In the end, this one comes down to Texas State wanting it more. Troy's season is practically over already and this is a big game for the Bobcats to get back to the top of the standings. TXST minus the points is the play.

AAA Sports