We like the Iowa Hawkeyes to defeat the Michigan State Wolverines on Saturday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Michigan State are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games played at home since last season.

Iowa have won nine of their last twelve conference games.

Not only just that, but the Hawkeyes are also on a 18-5 ATS run as a favorite on the road in the Big 10.

The Hawkeyes have won back to back games against Michigan State.

MSU is also just 3-3 this season with Iowa sitting at 4-2. Iowa's only losses are against an undefeated ISU team (20-19) and Ohio State who are one of the best teams in the nation as well.

Iowa is the better side. They win by at least a touchdown here.

AAA Sports