Tigers left-hander Tarik Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) has had great season, but he has a 4.26 ERA across two stars against the Houston Astros, and the Tigers have a losing record as road underdogs with Skubal as the starter.

Houston left-hander Framber Valdez of Houston (15-7, 2.91 ERA) has faced Detroit only once this season, that was on May 10 when he limited them to two runs over seven innings of a 5-2 Houston win. Valdez has had a spectacular season half of the season, and I think he'll keep the Tigers in check.

I also like the under, as I also have a lot of respect for Skubal.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER.