The Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-9 on the season, and 0-5 on the road. They are getting a whole bunch of points in Indianapolis this week though, and there have been positive signs from the Jags in recent weeks. I think the Colts are a little overrated, and I'll take the points here as I think this could be a little closer than one might expect.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Blake Bortles - The rookie is completing 63% of his pass attempts so far, and he's also throwing for plenty of yardage. While he's thrown a ton of picks, he's also thrown for 8 TDs. Bortles moved the ball well against the Cowboys in London, racking up 290 yards.

2. Injuries - The Colts lost RB Ahmad Bradshaw and TE Dwayne Allen to injury in last week's loss to the Patriots.

3. X-Factor - The Jags have just one win in their last six games, but the margin of defeat in each of those five losses was less than the spread for today's game.

Selection: This is a play on the Jacksonville Jaguars (10*)