The Washington Wizards came into the season with high expectations, and they haven't disappointed. Washington is coming off a home win over LeBron and the Cavs last night, and it sits just a game and a half back of the Raptors for first in the East. I like their chances on the road in Milwaukee tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:
1. Playing Over Their Heads - The Bucks sit in fifth in the East with a 7-6 record, but I think they will struggle to keep pace, and should slip out of a playoff spot by season's end.

2. Fatigue - Milwaukee is playing not only on back-to-back nights off a blowout loss north of the border last night, but this is also the Bucks fourth game in five nights.

3. X-Factor - The Wizards are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Selection: This is a play on the Washington Wizards (10*)