The Tampa Bay Lightning are looking to stay hot and make this three game home stand a perfect one by bagging yet another win tonight. The Senators will play their fourth game on the road in six days, coming straight from a 3-2 loss at Florida last night. The home team should be able to cover the spread at a good price and win this one comfortably.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Tampa Bay's Offensive Firepower - No other team in the NHL can show a better goal per game ratio than the Lightning and their 3.48 goals per game. They're extremely effective with their shots, ranking in the bottom half regarding shots per game. That number might go up after tonight's contest though as the visitors are giving up more than 35 shots per game, and we will see plenty of Tampa goals if only they can keep their efficiency up.

2. Home Cookin' - The hosts have been favored over recent meetings between these two teams with the home team winning 17 of the last 25 meetings. Good news for Tampa who is 7-1 over its last eight at home.

3. X-Factor - Steven Stamkos is coming off a three-point game against the Rangers and is on a three game scoring streak.

Selection: This is a play on the Tampa Bay Lightning (8*)