1* free play on the Green Bay Packers...

The 9-2 Patriots come in to Green Bay as winners of seven in a row, including a couple of road victories at Buffalo and Indianapolis. Playing the Packers at Lambeau is a whole different ballgame though, and the way Aaron Rodgers is playing, I can't see anybody beating the Packers on their home turf.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - Green Bay is 5-0 at home this season, while the Pats are just 3-2 on the road, with losses at Kansas City and Miami. The Packers haven't just been winning at home, they have been absolutely demolishing the opposition. They've outscored the opposition 219-85 in their five wins.

2. Injuries - The Patriots could be without a couple key players on offense as Brandon LaFell and Shane Vereen are both listed as questionable.

3. X-Factor - The Patriots are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Selection: This is a play on the Green Bay Packers (Free)