The Atlanta Braves upset Max Scherzer and the Nationals at Turner Field last night, and they've now won five of their last six home games. They should have an excellent chance to extend that winning streak tonight, hosting the last place Phillies. Philadelphia has lost four straight, and seven of it's last eight overall.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Julio Teheran will get the start for the Braves, and the 24 year old remains impressive at home. Teheran (5-4, 4.94 ERA) didn't have his best stuff in a loss at Pittsburgh in his last outing. That's no surprise though, as he's struggled on the road all year. The right-hander is still 4-0 with a 2.35 ERA at home though. The Phillies counter with rookie Adam Morgan, who makes his second career start.

2. Previous History - The Braves have seen the total go under in eight of their last 10 overall, and 11 of their last 13 as a home favorite with Teheran on the mound.

3. X-Factor - Teheran hasn't faced the Phillies in 2015, but he was 2-1 with a 1.17 ERA in four starts last season.

Selection: This is a play on PHI@ATL to go UNDER the total (10*)