*8* play on the New Orleans Saints.

The New Orleans Saints are on a roll since Drew Brees returned from injury. They are coming off impressive wins the last two weeks, defeating Atlanta at home and Indianapolis on the road. They host the New York Giants this week, and I expect the home team to keep on rolling at the Superdome.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Saints have won their last three home games versus New York by an average margin of 28 points. They have won two of three at home this year, and they are are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

2. Giants Defense - The Giants are missing several key defenders due to injury, including CB Prince Amukamara and four defensive ends. They have struggled against the pass, ranking 30th overall in the NFL allowing opponents to average 288 yards per game.

3. X-Factor - The home team is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Selection: This is a play on the New Orleans Saints (8*)