The set up: I'm always on the look out for value in Major League Baseball and in this case, I think "The King" offers great value at home in this particular matchup.

The pitching matchup-up: Tampa Bay goes with Blake Snell, who is so far 7-3 with a 2.56 ERA. Snell most recently gave up one run off two hits while striking out seven over 5.2 innings in a victory over the A's on Tuesday. Snell's been great and it's difficult to find too many faults, but I do think it's important to note that while he owns a minuscule 0.86 ERA at home, his ERA raises to 4.01 on the road.

The Mariners turn to Felix Hernandez, who is 5-4 with a 5.83 ERA. Hernandez comes in off an outing to forget on Tuesday, giving up five runs off six hits while striking out four over five innings in a setback to the Rangers on Tuesday. It wasn't Hernandez's best month, as he'd finish with a pedestrian 29:16 K/W over 33.2 innings in May. I will point out though that while his ERA is an atrocious 7.03 on the road, it's a much more respectable 4.42 at home.

The pick: Seattle is 12-8 this year against southpaws, while Tampa is just 18-19 (-2.7 units) against right-handed starters. I look for the Rays to stumble and I expect Hernandez to get back on track to open June. Play on the Mariners.