The set-up: San Diego improved to 1-1 in this series after last night's 3-2 win, but I like LA to bounce back in the second to last game before the Mid Summer Classic. The visitors are going with rookie Chris Paddack on the hill, while the home side goes with Kenta Maeda.

The pitchers: Paddack (5-4, 3.05 ERA) has been sharp of late, allowing three runs over his last 11 innings of work. Paddack's lone start vs. the Dodgers was a "dud" though, allowing six runs over four innings on May 14th.

Maeda (7-4, 3.78) gave up two earned runs or less in four of five June starts. He's 6-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 15 appearances vs. the Padres.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but SD is still just 9-12 this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range, while LA is still 37-10 as a home favorite. I think Paddack struggles again vs. this talented line-up and in this difficult road venue. Lay it.

LA Dodgers

10* play