The set-up: Toronto pulled off a rare upset over the Yankees yesterday and it'll be trying to do it again here. New York will be out to atone for that subpar effort and when the smoke does finally clear, I expect this total to sneak above the posted number. The Blue Jays hand the ball to Marcus Stroman, while the home side goes with Masahiro Tanaka.

The pitchers: Stroman (5-9, 3.18 ERA) hasn't pitched since June 29th because of a pectoral issue. Overall Stroman is 6-5 with a 4.21 ERA in 16 career starts vs. New York.

Tanaka (5-5, 3.86) last took the mound on July 5th vs. Tampa Bay when he'd allow four runs off six hits over six innings.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Jays have already seen the total go over the number in four of five this year on the road when the total is between 10 to 10.5, while the Yanks have seen the total soar over in five of seven at home when total is set in the same range. This number is a little low, play the over.

8* TOTAL ECLIPSE on the over Jays/Yankees.