The set-up: I think we're getting a great price on the veteran Jon Lester on his home field in this particular matchup. The visitors see Eric Lauer toe the rubber. Chicago is 5-1 since the All Star Break, while the Padres are 1-5.

The pitchers: Lauer (5-7, 4.04 ERA) has been decent of late, but in his only start vs. the Cubs he was shelled for five runs off five hits over two innings last season.

Lester (9-6, 3.74) has made eight career starts vs. San Diego and he's gone 3-1 with a 3.78 ERA, allowing 18 runs and 12 walks with 36 K's.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Diego is now a poor 21-28 (-10.2 units) this year following a loss, while Chicago is 20-6 (+11 units) this season as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. I think we're getting a great price on this one.

8* DESTRUCTION on the Cubs.