The set-up: Luis Castillo has looked shaky at times over the second half for the Reds, but I still think he'll have more than enough in the tank here to get the better of his erratic counterpart Matt Strahm.

The pitchers: Strahm (5-8, 5.21 ERA) is back in the rotation after a stint in the pen and he's just 2-4 with a 5.91 ERA in all "day" games this season.

Castillo (11-5, 3.10) actually comes in off the worst start of his entire career, allowing eight runs in a 13-4 loss to the Cardinals. Castillo has to be feeling confident he can bounce back here though, as note that he's still a sharp 7-4 with a 2.97 ERA at home.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Diego is just 21-24 in "day" games this season, while Cincinnati is 16-10 in its last 26 at home with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. I'm banking on Castillo bouncing back here. Great price.

8* DESTRUCTION on the Reds.