Both teams have a great starter going today; Scherzer for the Mets, and lefty Fried for the Braves, so a close game is expected. The Braves’ offense is much the hotter of the two at the moment, while the Mets are on the road and struggle against left-handed pitching. While it doesn’t happen all that often, the Mets are 6-8 as a road underdog. Atlanta is 29-18 at home and hitting right-handers at a .300 clip lately. Both bullpens have been very fine.

The Braves are on a fine run, and momentum and home field are on their side. Take the favorite today. Atlanta to win.