At 7:10 ET, my NL East GOM is on Philadelphia. The Braves and Phillies wrap up an important divisional series on Sunday night and in my opinion, the home side could or should in fact be a much larger favorite. And the main reason is the scheduled starting pitching matchup. Atlanta's sure been playing well of late, but with the eyes of the baseball World on this game on Sunday night, the value here lies with Aaron Nola (12-6, 3.30 ERA) who enters off a great outing vs. the Astros, going seven scoreless and striking out six. Nola owns a sharp 153:43 K:BB over 166.1 innings of work and he's conceded just two runs over his last three outings spanning 19 frames. I respect Spencer Schwellenbach (5-6, 3.72) but I believe that he's in over his head here in this spot. Schwellenbach is coming off a decent start vs. the Twins, allowing no runs over 4.2 innings. He beat the Phillies last week but now they see him for the 2nd time in less than 2 weeks and the 3rd time this summer. That's the first time he will face the same opponent 3x. I say Nola at home in this spot is the correct call. Nola pitched against Fried last week and won 3-2. I love his chances here at home, where he is even better. Play on Philadelphia