ROGERS RIVALRY GAME OF THE YEAR - 26-6 RECORD
(NCAAF) Lobos (NM) vs. Aggies (NMS),
Point Spread: 9.50 | -108.00 Aggies (NMS) (Home)
Result: Loss
At 8:00pm ET, my Rivalry Game Of The Year is on New Mexico State. This line is very generous given that I believe that the Aggies can easily win outright. New Mexico is 0-4. New Mexico State is 1-3. Those records were expected as the Lobos have been big underdogs in all 4 of their games while the Aggies were underdogs in 3 of theirs but favored in the other. It's true that New Mexico was more competitive in losing against their one common opponent (Fresno State) than New Mexico State was. The Lobos got to host the Bulldogs though and the Aggies has to go to Fresno. The Aggies have played really well at home. They won the game that they were supposed, a 23-16 victory over S.E. Missouri State. They rallied in the 4th quarter for the victory and that will help their confidence should this one also be close in the 4th quarter. In the Aggies other home game, they only lost by 6 points in the final minute to Liberty. That's very impressive when factoring in that Liberty was 13-0 last season and is undefeated again this year. New Mexico lost both its road games by more than 20 points. The Aggies are 7-1 versus the spread the last 8 h2h meetings and the underdog is 11-2 ATS the last 13. Though the opposition was tough, with an 0-4 record New Mexico hasn't shown it can win yet. Now the Lobos are being asked to go on the road and win by more than a touchdown. The Aggies won by 10 last year and 12 the year before that. New Mexico's last 2 wins in the series both came by single-digits. This one will be close! Grab the points.