PREMIUM
AAA's EARLY 5-GAME NFL REPORT (INSANE 40-20, 67% ALL NFL FIRST 11 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Jacksonville vs. Buffalo,
11/27/2016 8:00 AM, Score: 21 - 28
Point Spread: 7.50 | -104.00 Jacksonville (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 7.50 | -104.00 Jacksonville (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Jacksonville is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 7.5 to ten points and interestingly, 4-2 ATS in its last six against the AFC East, while Buffalo is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite.
The bottom line: With a trip across the country against suddenly surging Oakland next week, we think the home side has a small misstep today and gets caught "looking ahead." While we won't be so bold to call for the outright upset, we do definitely expect the hungry visitors to take this one down to the wire. Play on the JAGUARS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Jacksonville is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 7.5 to ten points and interestingly, 4-2 ATS in its last six against the AFC East, while Buffalo is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite.
The bottom line: With a trip across the country against suddenly surging Oakland next week, we think the home side has a small misstep today and gets caught "looking ahead." While we won't be so bold to call for the outright upset, we do definitely expect the hungry visitors to take this one down to the wire. Play on the JAGUARS.
AAA Sports
