PREMIUM
AAA's 5-GAME SATURDAY COLLEGE HOOPS PASS (+$6.5K ALL CBB Y-T-D!)
(NCAAB) Georgia State vs. Troy,
01/28/2017 12:15 PM, Score: 78 - 72
Total: 151.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 151.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between Georgia State and Troy.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Georgia State has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of seven as an underdog this year and in three of five after scoring 80 points or more, while Troy has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five home games where the total is between 150 and 154.5.
The bottom line: These teams have been playing to some pretty high-scoring affairs of late, but we think the value has now finally swung the other way. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Georgia State has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of seven as an underdog this year and in three of five after scoring 80 points or more, while Troy has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five home games where the total is between 150 and 154.5.
The bottom line: These teams have been playing to some pretty high-scoring affairs of late, but we think the value has now finally swung the other way. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
