PREMIUM
AAA's VERY EARLY BIG 12 BLOCKBUSTER (TEXAS TECH/BAYLOR!)
(NCAAF) Texas Tech vs. Baylor,
11/11/2017 7:00 AM, Score: 38 - 24
Point Spread: -7.50 | -106.00 Texas Tech (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -7.50 | -106.00 Texas Tech (Away)
Result: Win
This an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Texas Tech.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against teams with losing records and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, while Baylor is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a win against a conference rival (this sets up as prime letdown spot for the Bears after they got the monkey off their back with their first win of the season in last week's 38-9 win over Kansas).
The bottom line: The Red Raiders still need two more wins to become bowl eligible and can't leave anything to chance this weekend with tough games to end the year with TCU at home and finishing off at Texas. To punch its ticket to a bowl, Texas Tech will need to win this game and then hope for an upset over the final two. But first things first. And for the Bears, they got off the schneid last week and have absolutely nothing to play for. We're banking on the hungrier team pulling away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on TEXAS TECH.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against teams with losing records and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, while Baylor is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a win against a conference rival (this sets up as prime letdown spot for the Bears after they got the monkey off their back with their first win of the season in last week's 38-9 win over Kansas).
The bottom line: The Red Raiders still need two more wins to become bowl eligible and can't leave anything to chance this weekend with tough games to end the year with TCU at home and finishing off at Texas. To punch its ticket to a bowl, Texas Tech will need to win this game and then hope for an upset over the final two. But first things first. And for the Bears, they got off the schneid last week and have absolutely nothing to play for. We're banking on the hungrier team pulling away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on TEXAS TECH.
AAA Sports
