PREMIUM
AAA's ALL EARLY WEEK 16 BLOWOUT TOTAL DESTRUCTION PASS (BREAK OUT THE BROOMS!)
(NFL) Detroit vs. Cincinnati,
12/24/2017 8:00 AM, Score: 17 - 26
Total: 44.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 44.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Lions and Bengals.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Detroit has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games that it's played this year following a win against a division rival and in four of six on the road this year, while Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year after two or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: The Lions are in a dog fight for one of the remaining wild card spots and they come in with plenty of momentum after winning two straight, including a 20-10 victory over Chicago in their most recent action. With a game at home against an already eliminated Green Bay Packer team next week, the Lions have a very realistic shot at finishing the season at 10-6. But they won't want to leave anything to chance this weekend as they'll look to open up the playbook and try to put away the Bengals early. And for Cincinnati, it's officially out of playoff contention and it comes in having lost three straight. Andy Dalton and company are now trying to prove themselves and finish up the season strong. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little low. Play the OVER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Detroit has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games that it's played this year following a win against a division rival and in four of six on the road this year, while Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year after two or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: The Lions are in a dog fight for one of the remaining wild card spots and they come in with plenty of momentum after winning two straight, including a 20-10 victory over Chicago in their most recent action. With a game at home against an already eliminated Green Bay Packer team next week, the Lions have a very realistic shot at finishing the season at 10-6. But they won't want to leave anything to chance this weekend as they'll look to open up the playbook and try to put away the Bengals early. And for Cincinnati, it's officially out of playoff contention and it comes in having lost three straight. Andy Dalton and company are now trying to prove themselves and finish up the season strong. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little low. Play the OVER.
AAA Sports
