PREMIUM
AAA's 10* NHL SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (INSANE 30-10 +$18K BIG TICKET 10* NHL YTD!)
(NHL) Vancouver vs. Edmonton,
01/20/2018 5:00 PM, Score: 2 - 5
Money Line: -170.00 Edmonton (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -170.00 Edmonton (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Edmonton Oilers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Vancouver is just 6-10 (-3.2 units) this year against teams with losing records, just 4-9 (-3.8 units) against the division and only 1-2 (-1 unit) when playing with three or more days rest, while Edmonton is 8-2 (+6 units) against the division and 6-3 (+3.3 units) after playing three consecutive road games.
The bottom line: We think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Oilers come out of their bye week rested and focused and off two straight quality victories, including at Las Vegas in their latest. The Oilers have underwhelmed to this point, but they'll look to reverse their fortunes now with one last big effort. Edmonton also plays with revenge here after falling to the Canucks 3-2 in early October. Vancouver comes in primed for a letdown here, off back-to-back road victories and also looking ahead to its game in Winnipeg tomorrow night. When you add it all up, we feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, play on the OILERS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Vancouver is just 6-10 (-3.2 units) this year against teams with losing records, just 4-9 (-3.8 units) against the division and only 1-2 (-1 unit) when playing with three or more days rest, while Edmonton is 8-2 (+6 units) against the division and 6-3 (+3.3 units) after playing three consecutive road games.
The bottom line: We think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Oilers come out of their bye week rested and focused and off two straight quality victories, including at Las Vegas in their latest. The Oilers have underwhelmed to this point, but they'll look to reverse their fortunes now with one last big effort. Edmonton also plays with revenge here after falling to the Canucks 3-2 in early October. Vancouver comes in primed for a letdown here, off back-to-back road victories and also looking ahead to its game in Winnipeg tomorrow night. When you add it all up, we feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, play on the OILERS.
AAA Sports
