PREMIUM
AAA's COAST-TO-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS (ALL AABOOAARRDD!)
(NBA) Philadelphia vs. Memphis,
01/22/2018 3:00 PM, Score: 101 - 105
Total: 207.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 207.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Memphis Grizzlies.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three following a win by ten points or more (note that the 76ers have won three straight and eight of ten, most recently a 116-94 rout of the Bucks), while Memphis has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of 22 this year already against clubs with winning records and in 15 of 24 against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per game.
The bottom line: Memphis welcomes rival San Antonio to town on Wednesday, so could get caught looking ahead here. This is a brief one game road trip for the 76ers before they return home for a game against the Bulls on Wednesday. This also sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three following a win by ten points or more (note that the 76ers have won three straight and eight of ten, most recently a 116-94 rout of the Bucks), while Memphis has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of 22 this year already against clubs with winning records and in 15 of 24 against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per game.
The bottom line: Memphis welcomes rival San Antonio to town on Wednesday, so could get caught looking ahead here. This is a brief one game road trip for the 76ers before they return home for a game against the Bulls on Wednesday. This also sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
