This is a 1* Free Play on the Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox laid a whooping on the Blue Jays yesterday and I think getting them as the slight underdog here is a great value play. Boston sends Jake Peavy (1-8, 4.59 ERA) to the hill, the veteran has pitched pretty well this season but has not got the run support of other pitchers like his counterpart in this game. Note that Peavey is 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA in seven career starts against the Blue Jays. Jays starter J.A Happ (7-5, 4.91 ERA) has gotten ample run support despite not pitching as well as Peavy this year; in fact, Happ hasn't pitched a quality outing since June and has a 2-2 record with a rough 5.22 ERA in 27 innings lifetime against the Red Sox. Toronto may have won two of three against the Texas Rangers in its last series but I think it hides the fact that the team has really been struggling overall (Toronto is tied for second in the East after going 13-25 since entering play on June 7th with a six-game division lead). The Red Sox meanwhile are feeling good about themselves; a winner in eight of nine, Boston owns a 38-6 scoring advantage while batting .333 during a five-game surge that has helped pull the club out of last place in the AL East. Conversely, the Jays bats have been pretty silent since the loss of Edwin Encarnacion; also note that Toronto slugger Jose Bautista has not homered in 14 straight games and is 3 for 20 in his last six (he's also just 4 for 20 without a homer against Peavy). Boston looks like a great bet to me as the slight underdog or even money.

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