This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: The Hornets have been playing great, but after winning four straight away from friendly confines, we're definitely expecting a drop-off in production today. Note that Charlotte hasn't won five straight on the road in more than 14 years. And note that the Hornets were 6-17 away from home prior to this run.

Revenge: The Cavs will be looking to atone for a 106-97 setback to the Hornets on February 3rd.

Injuries: Note that Charlotte will be without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist who was lost to an injury last Wednesday.

If history is any precedence: Cleveland has to be loving its chances today as the last time Charlotte visited on January 23rd, 2015, the home side would come away with the convincing 129-90 victory.

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 16-17 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Cleveland is 15-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: A classic letdown spot, revenge situation, all signs do indeed point to the CAVALIERS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports