PREMIUM
AAA's 5-GAME NBA DESTRUCTION PASS (5-0, 100% SWEEP ON DECK!)
(NBA) Denver vs. Dallas,
02/26/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 116 - 122
Total: 208.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 208.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated home side: The Mavs are just 2-6 in their last eight, allowing teams to average 110.1 points and shooting 47.8 percent. Dallas though has a golden opportunity to reverse its fortunes with an upcoming favorable schedule with Denver tonight, followed by Minnesota, Orlando and Sacramento. And a date vs. Denver is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as Dallas has won four of the last five in the series, including three straight, most recently a 92-81 home on November 28th.
Surging visitors: The Nuggets clearly won't be rolling over today though, they'll be looking to string a couple of wins together after their convincing 87-81 effort over the Clippers on Wednesday, limiting LA to just 35.3 percent shooting overall: "We have beaten some of the best teams in the NBA when we defend, and this is the first game, post All-Star break, where we defended for four quarters," Denver coach Michael Malone assessed afterwards. "Hopefully we can get back to defending at a high level like we were before the break."
Poor three-point shooting: Note that despite their latest victory, the Nuggets have been struggling from behind the 3-point line, going just 6 of 24 (30.5 percent) over a 4-5 span.
ATS statistics: Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of nine this year as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of six as a home fav in the same points range and in 14 of 26 after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and trend based factors to pull the trigger on this UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated home side: The Mavs are just 2-6 in their last eight, allowing teams to average 110.1 points and shooting 47.8 percent. Dallas though has a golden opportunity to reverse its fortunes with an upcoming favorable schedule with Denver tonight, followed by Minnesota, Orlando and Sacramento. And a date vs. Denver is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as Dallas has won four of the last five in the series, including three straight, most recently a 92-81 home on November 28th.
Surging visitors: The Nuggets clearly won't be rolling over today though, they'll be looking to string a couple of wins together after their convincing 87-81 effort over the Clippers on Wednesday, limiting LA to just 35.3 percent shooting overall: "We have beaten some of the best teams in the NBA when we defend, and this is the first game, post All-Star break, where we defended for four quarters," Denver coach Michael Malone assessed afterwards. "Hopefully we can get back to defending at a high level like we were before the break."
Poor three-point shooting: Note that despite their latest victory, the Nuggets have been struggling from behind the 3-point line, going just 6 of 24 (30.5 percent) over a 4-5 span.
ATS statistics: Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of nine this year as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of six as a home fav in the same points range and in 14 of 26 after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and trend based factors to pull the trigger on this UNDER.
AAA Sports
