PREMIUM
AAA's ONE & ONLY 10* TOTAL OF YEAR (Easily Hit NBA "TOY!")
(NCAAB) Louisville vs. Miami,
02/27/2016 9:00 AM, Score: 65 - 73
Total: 135.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 135.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between Louisville and Miami Florida.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Something to prove: 11th ranked Louisville is playing like a team possessed this year. Being barred from the postseason likely has something to do with it, the Cardinals are playing with a chip on their shoulder and will be looking to at the very least, earn the ACC regular-season title. They've helped themselves by coming into this one on a three-game win streak, including a victory over the Blue Devils last week. These teams are now tied in the standings. The stakes really could not be any higher today and it's this sense of immense competition which we feel will translate into production on the court.
Proving themselves: The Hurricanes would bounce back from a 96-71 rout by UNC to earn a 64-61 victory over Virginia last time out: "We got knocked down big time on Saturday and you've got to get back up and fight to show what you're made of," Miami coach Jim Larranaga assessed last night. "I thought we did that (Monday) against an outstanding Virginia team."
ATS statistics: This is definitely a spot in which both teams have shown a penchant to playing to the higher number, as Louisville has seen the total eclipse the posted number in all three road games it's played this year when the total is between 135 and 139.5 and in five of its last six over the last three years in the same position, while Miami has seen the total sail above the number in interestingly, 40 of its last 66 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest.
The bottom line: This is a big game. The winner could very well be in the No. 1 spot in the standings, depending on what happens in UNC/Virginia. We're expecting each to push the pace of this one from the outset and a faster game = more shots and more shots = more points. In our opinion, this number is just a little low. Play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Something to prove: 11th ranked Louisville is playing like a team possessed this year. Being barred from the postseason likely has something to do with it, the Cardinals are playing with a chip on their shoulder and will be looking to at the very least, earn the ACC regular-season title. They've helped themselves by coming into this one on a three-game win streak, including a victory over the Blue Devils last week. These teams are now tied in the standings. The stakes really could not be any higher today and it's this sense of immense competition which we feel will translate into production on the court.
Proving themselves: The Hurricanes would bounce back from a 96-71 rout by UNC to earn a 64-61 victory over Virginia last time out: "We got knocked down big time on Saturday and you've got to get back up and fight to show what you're made of," Miami coach Jim Larranaga assessed last night. "I thought we did that (Monday) against an outstanding Virginia team."
ATS statistics: This is definitely a spot in which both teams have shown a penchant to playing to the higher number, as Louisville has seen the total eclipse the posted number in all three road games it's played this year when the total is between 135 and 139.5 and in five of its last six over the last three years in the same position, while Miami has seen the total sail above the number in interestingly, 40 of its last 66 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest.
The bottom line: This is a big game. The winner could very well be in the No. 1 spot in the standings, depending on what happens in UNC/Virginia. We're expecting each to push the pace of this one from the outset and a faster game = more shots and more shots = more points. In our opinion, this number is just a little low. Play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
