AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - 20-9 +$8,960 ALL Picks L7 Days!
(NHL) New Jersey vs. Dallas, 03/04/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 2 - 4
Money Line: -216.00 Dallas (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Stars.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of common sense factors:

Scheduling: New Jersey played and won 5-4 in OT at Nashville just last night. That satisfying victory snapped a three-game losing slide. Suffice it to say, there's no doubt in our minds that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the suddenly contended visitors.

Revenge: Dallas lost 3-2 in TO to New Jersey on January 2nd.

Ultra-motivated home side: After four straight losses and dropping seven of their last eight, it will be all hands on deck for the home side today as it desperately tries to break the slide.

ATS statistics: Note that New Jersey is just 20-29 (-7.6 units) in its last 29 when playing on back-to-back days, while Dallas is 10-5 (+4.6 units) after allowing four goals or more.

The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, all signs do indeed point to the STARS as the savvy move in this contest.

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