PREMIUM
AAA's *30-STAR* Afternoon CBB SUPER-PAK - 9-3 +$5K CBB RUN!
(NCAAB) California vs. Arizona State,
03/05/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 68 - 65
Point Spread: 4.00 | -110.00 Arizona State (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 4.00 | -110.00 Arizona State (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on Arizona State.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:
Revenge: I played on Arizona State in its game vs. Stanford on Thursday and it would break a four game losing streak and avenge an earlier loss to the Cardinal. Here's another revenge situation vs. California as the Sun Devils fell 75-70 on January 21st to the Golden Bears.
Classic letdown spot: After winning seven straight, Cal finally had a letdown in a 64-61 loss to Arizona last time out, a team which now sits two games ahead of it with one to play. The motivation factor is low for the Golden Bears right now.
ATS statistics: Note that Cal is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after a SU loss following a five game or more unbeaten streak, while ASU is 6-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. a Pac-12 opponent.
The bottom line: In a contest which we envision coming down to the wire, we'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on ARIZONA STATE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:
Revenge: I played on Arizona State in its game vs. Stanford on Thursday and it would break a four game losing streak and avenge an earlier loss to the Cardinal. Here's another revenge situation vs. California as the Sun Devils fell 75-70 on January 21st to the Golden Bears.
Classic letdown spot: After winning seven straight, Cal finally had a letdown in a 64-61 loss to Arizona last time out, a team which now sits two games ahead of it with one to play. The motivation factor is low for the Golden Bears right now.
ATS statistics: Note that Cal is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after a SU loss following a five game or more unbeaten streak, while ASU is 6-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. a Pac-12 opponent.
The bottom line: In a contest which we envision coming down to the wire, we'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on ARIZONA STATE.
AAA Sports
