PREMIUM
AAA's *30-STAR* Afternoon CBB SUPER-PAK - 9-3 +$5K CBB RUN!
(NCAAB) Louisville vs. Virginia,
03/05/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 46 - 68
Point Spread: 6.00 | -110.00 Louisville (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 6.00 | -110.00 Louisville (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* play on Louisville.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: Here's another great revenge scenario as the Cardinals would fall 63-47 to Virginia on January 30th. Louisville enters the final game of the regular season with plenty of momentum, winning four of its last five, including a 56-53 over Georgia Tech last time out.
ATS statistics: Note that Louisville is 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to revenge a loss by 14 points or more vs. a conference opponent, while Virginia is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after back-to-back covers vs. conference opponents.
The bottom line: These teams are separated by just a single game in the standings, an all out war is in the cards, so in a contest which we envision coming down to whoever has the final possession, we'll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on LOUISVILLE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: Here's another great revenge scenario as the Cardinals would fall 63-47 to Virginia on January 30th. Louisville enters the final game of the regular season with plenty of momentum, winning four of its last five, including a 56-53 over Georgia Tech last time out.
ATS statistics: Note that Louisville is 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to revenge a loss by 14 points or more vs. a conference opponent, while Virginia is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after back-to-back covers vs. conference opponents.
The bottom line: These teams are separated by just a single game in the standings, an all out war is in the cards, so in a contest which we envision coming down to whoever has the final possession, we'll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on LOUISVILLE.
AAA Sports
