AAA's EARLY BIG-TEN ASSASSIN!
(NCAAB) Nebraska vs. Northwestern, 03/06/2016 9:00 AM, Score: 54 - 65
Point Spread: 5.00 | -110.00 Nebraska (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Nebraska.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Lots to play for: At 14-16 overall and 6-11 in conference, at first glance it may not appear as if the Huskers have much to play for today, but that would in fact be completely inaccurate. If Nebraska can win its final game of the regular season, it would lock up a first-round bye for next weeks' Big Ten Tournament, plus a win by either Michigan State, Purdue or Illinois.

Revenge: Despite Benny Parker setting a career high with 17 points and seven assists, highlighted by five 3-pointers, Nebraska fell 81-72 to Northwestern in the team's Big Ten opener on December 30th. It was a disappointing setback and one the Huskers won't soon forget as the Wildcats overcame a 12-point second half deficit for the victory.

ATS statistics: Note the Nebraska is 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent after leading the setback by at least ten points at half time, while Northwestern is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: This is an important game for both teams, but the situational factors and strong ATS trends are all pointing to a nail-biter. Grab the points with NEBRASKA.

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