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AAA's *30-STAR* TOTALS REPORT (INCREDIBLE +$44K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!)
(NBA) Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City,
03/11/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 99 - 96
Total: 223.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 223.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Wolves are horrible on the defensive end, which doesn't bode well in facing the run and gun Thunder, but Minnesota will still be trying to snap a ten game losing slide in the series.
Classic look-ahead spot: With a nationally televised game in San Antonio on Saturday, it's not too hard to imagine Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and the rest of the Thunder in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that important game.
ATS statistics: Note that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of 17 following a loss by ten points or more, while OKC has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of 24 this season after a win by ten points or more and in 21 of 34 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: This can be a higher-scoring shootout and still fall below this sky-high number and that's exactly what we're expecting. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Wolves are horrible on the defensive end, which doesn't bode well in facing the run and gun Thunder, but Minnesota will still be trying to snap a ten game losing slide in the series.
Classic look-ahead spot: With a nationally televised game in San Antonio on Saturday, it's not too hard to imagine Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and the rest of the Thunder in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that important game.
ATS statistics: Note that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of 17 following a loss by ten points or more, while OKC has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of 24 this season after a win by ten points or more and in 21 of 34 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: This can be a higher-scoring shootout and still fall below this sky-high number and that's exactly what we're expecting. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
