Stephen Nover Free Monday Play
(MLB) Boston vs. Toronto, 08/25/2014 3:07 PM, Score: 4 - 3
Money Line: -125.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Loss
Is there any reason or proof to trust the Red Sox and Clay Buchholz on the road in this matchup? I certainly can't find any.

Boston has lost eight in a row. Just once during this span have the Red Sox scored more than three runs. Buchholz has been brutal all season and that hasn't changed since the All-Star break.

The Red Sox have lost each of the past six times Buchholz has taken the mound. He's compiled a 7.05 ERA during this span. Buchholz has a 7.15 ERA in four outings against Toronto this season.

Boston hasn't been good against better competition going 6-18 versus opponents above .500. They have lost 10 of the past 11 times to Toronto, including the last six.

Blue Jays lefty J.A. Happ is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA during his last four home starts. He's faced Boston four times the past two seasons going 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA, including winning both starts against the Red Sox this year. Boston has lost 15 of the last 21 times it has faced a southpaw.

Happ may not have to deal with David Ortiz either. Ortiz, who leads the Red Sox in homers and RBI's, left yesterday's game after fouling a ball off his foot.

(Editor's note: Big-play wise guy Stephen Nover is a perfect 3-for-3 on his largest August plays cashing his Chalk Game of the Month, Underdog Game of the Month and Run Line Game of the Month. Stephen has found his August Total of the Month on today's card in addition to this free selection. Make sure not to miss another big-play winner from one of the top handicappers in the country.