Rogers' Sunday Night SHOWDOWN >> Going For 8th Straight Primetime Winner!
(NFL) Denver vs. Oakland, 11/06/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 20 - 30
Total: 43.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Broncos have regularly gotten the better of the Raiders in recent years, winning eight of the last nine since 2011. That should not come as a surprise, as Denver's AFC West record is 26-7 (.788) over the last five years, the best winning percentage against divisional foes in the NFL in that span. However, the 2016 season, at least so far, has brought a "new day" to the AFC West,as the Raiders enter this contest tied with the Broncos atop the division, with both teams checking in with 6-2 records at the mid-point of the season.

Denver: The Broncos are on the road for a second straight week, coming off a 27-19 win at San Diego. Maybe the best stat starting QB Trevor Siemian owns is that he's made just five turnovers in his seven games (four INTS & a fumble). Denver's defense is not the league's best at the moment but it does rank 5th in points allowed (17.0 PPG) on 301.2 YPG (7th). The offense ranks a poor 27th in total yards (326.4 per) but is over-performing on the scoreboard, scoring 24.2 PPG, which ranks 13th.

Oakland: The Raiders are a perfect 5-0 SU & ATS on the road but here in Oakland, are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS. QB Derek Carr threw for an amazing total of 513 yards (along with four TDs, including the game-winner in OT), as the Raiders won 30-24 last Sunday at Tampa Bay. He just keeps getting better, completing 66.3% for an average of 285.1 YPG with a 17-3 ratio and a QB rating of 100.9. WRs Cooper (52 catches / 15.1 YPC) and Crabtree (47 catches / 6 TDs) have developed into a terrific pass-catcthing duo plus a running game which averaged just 77.5 YPG in 2014 and 91.1 YPG in 2015, is averaging 116.5 (8th) here in 2016, on 4.8 YPC (averaged 3.8 YPC in 2014 & '15). The defense is a problem though, allowing 25.4 PPG (22nd) on 410.4 YPG (31st).

The pick: Amazingly, the vistor is 8-0 ATS in Oakland games this year and while I favor the Broncos, I prefer the under. Oakland had been out-gained in every game played prior to its win over Tampa Bay last Sunday and I expect the defending Super Bowl champs to come "ready for bear." That said, Denver's offense doesn't remotely resemble the Peyton-led teams of years past (naturally, excluding the 2015 season). The Under is an 8* play.