PREMIUM
Rogers' *10* HIGH NOON HUSTLE >> 9-2-2 Last 2 Days!
(NCAAF) Kansas State vs. Baylor,
11/19/2016 8:00 AM, Score: 42 - 21
Point Spread: 2.00 | -107.00 Baylor (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 2.00 | -107.00 Baylor (Home)
Result: Loss
The set-up: Kansas State is 5-4 and Baylor 6-3, with both teams 3-3 in Big-12 play. The Wildcats are about where they were expected to be at this time of the year, looking to earn a sixth win for bowl eligibly (KSU finished 6-7 in 2015, after losing to Arkansas in the Liberty Bowl). However, much more was expected of Baylor, which opened 23rd in the AP's preseason poll. The Bears opened 6-0 in 2016 but the team's 45-24 loss at Oklahoma last Saturday was the Bears' third in a row and after 60 straight weeks in the AP top-25, the Bears were unranked when Sunday's latest poll came out (Baylor hasn't been part of the CFP rankings for the last two weeks).
Kansas State: The Wildcats will likely get their sixth win at home against Kansas on Nov. 26 but it would be awful sweet for Bill Snyder's team to win here at Baylor. Kansas St. has recorded three straight conference games with 200 or more rushing yards, its longest streak since 2003, and had 345 yards on the ground in a 43-37 loss at Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Junior QB Jesse Ertz averages 70 yards rushing per game, best among quarterbacks in the Big 12, and has had two straight 100-yard games. Kansas St. ranks 36th with 209.6 YPG on the ground. However, Ertz's completed only 56.8% of his passes for a modest 1,165 yards (KSU ranks 117th with 156.8 YPG passing) with just 7 TDs and 4 INTs. The good news is that Kansas State's defense leads the Big 12 in total D (392.8 YPG / 57th nationally) and rushing defense (110.9 YPG / 12th nationally).
Baylor: QB Seth Russell suffered a season-ending ankle fracture in last week's 45-24 loss at Oklahoma, so true freshman Zach Smith will be making his first start. Smith stepped in and hit six of 15 passes for 144 yards, including a 62-yard TD pass and also ran for a 1-yard score, after Russell went down in the third quarter last Saturday. "I feel good about Zach," acting Baylor head coach Jim Grobe told the Waco Tribune. "When it was his turn to go, he didn't panic. He seemed really calm but focused. I was just impressed with the maturity he showed taking the field in a tough situation. Hopefully this week he'll get more work than he typically does. He's just the kind of guy that you want." Senior RB Shock Linwood (school record 4,056 career rushing yards) will be back after serving a one-game suspension for an attitude issue. "I really don't have a lot of patience when guys aren't being good teammate kind of deals" Grobe said -- but running back Terence Williams (team best 708 yards, 8 TDs) is iffy with a tendon issue.
The pick: It looks as if Baylor has hit rock-bottom and Kansas State is 19-9 SU under head coach Bill Snyder when coming off an in-season bye. However, Baylor is 33-4 SU at home since 2011, best in the Big 12 and third-best nationally during that span.
What's more, Baylor has won five of the last six meetings including four in a row by margins of 28, 10, 11 and seven points, as favorites of 12 1/2, 17, 7 and 17 points. Baylor as a home dog? The Bears are a 10* play.
Kansas State: The Wildcats will likely get their sixth win at home against Kansas on Nov. 26 but it would be awful sweet for Bill Snyder's team to win here at Baylor. Kansas St. has recorded three straight conference games with 200 or more rushing yards, its longest streak since 2003, and had 345 yards on the ground in a 43-37 loss at Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Junior QB Jesse Ertz averages 70 yards rushing per game, best among quarterbacks in the Big 12, and has had two straight 100-yard games. Kansas St. ranks 36th with 209.6 YPG on the ground. However, Ertz's completed only 56.8% of his passes for a modest 1,165 yards (KSU ranks 117th with 156.8 YPG passing) with just 7 TDs and 4 INTs. The good news is that Kansas State's defense leads the Big 12 in total D (392.8 YPG / 57th nationally) and rushing defense (110.9 YPG / 12th nationally).
Baylor: QB Seth Russell suffered a season-ending ankle fracture in last week's 45-24 loss at Oklahoma, so true freshman Zach Smith will be making his first start. Smith stepped in and hit six of 15 passes for 144 yards, including a 62-yard TD pass and also ran for a 1-yard score, after Russell went down in the third quarter last Saturday. "I feel good about Zach," acting Baylor head coach Jim Grobe told the Waco Tribune. "When it was his turn to go, he didn't panic. He seemed really calm but focused. I was just impressed with the maturity he showed taking the field in a tough situation. Hopefully this week he'll get more work than he typically does. He's just the kind of guy that you want." Senior RB Shock Linwood (school record 4,056 career rushing yards) will be back after serving a one-game suspension for an attitude issue. "I really don't have a lot of patience when guys aren't being good teammate kind of deals" Grobe said -- but running back Terence Williams (team best 708 yards, 8 TDs) is iffy with a tendon issue.
The pick: It looks as if Baylor has hit rock-bottom and Kansas State is 19-9 SU under head coach Bill Snyder when coming off an in-season bye. However, Baylor is 33-4 SU at home since 2011, best in the Big 12 and third-best nationally during that span.
What's more, Baylor has won five of the last six meetings including four in a row by margins of 28, 10, 11 and seven points, as favorites of 12 1/2, 17, 7 and 17 points. Baylor as a home dog? The Bears are a 10* play.
